We have said that the unsound foundations of the EU will, eventually, lead to its collapse. So far this expectation is based mostly on the flawed logic of the Project and on the history of undemocratic regimes in Europe. Now the first signs of disruption may be evident in the rise of far-right parties in several European countries.
While these parties do not have much in common, from the ‘soft’ right of UKIP to Jobbik in Hungary, via Austria, Denmark, Sweden, France and Germany, what such parties do share is strong nationalist (hence euro-sceptic) and anti-immigrant views (the EU is failing to manage the migrant crisis). Growing numbers of people throughout Europe, including in the UK, are persuaded by nationalistic and anti-immigrant rhetoric, and economic weaknesses, to question the ability of the EU to meet their wishes (see Resurgent Right).
On the left there are also growing populist parties but so far these do not express a strong anti-EU flavour. There is also much euro-scepticism in the centre of politics.
If the EU is held together by little more than the comfort of familiarity and the fear of the unknown then that is not enough to hold it together and it is vulnerable to breaking up.